Étudier la rentabilité de son projet en 3 étapes

Image de projet di'investissement

Vous conviendrez avec moi que ce n’est  pas  tous les projets qui doivent être menés à bout. Certains projets sont rentables mais pas faisables techniquement, d’autres faisables mais pas rentables. Il convient donc de bien jauger le projet dans ses aspects. De bien l’évaluer aussi bien en matière réalisabilité que de rentabilité. Pour y parvenir  vous devez d’abord accomplir un nombre d’exercice, recenser les besoins en équipement, installations et outils ; estimer les recettes espérées, calculer à travers  les outils mathématiques la rentabilité du projet et enfin  prendre la décision de le réaliser ou d’abandonner. Cette dernière n’est certainement pas une option pour vous j’espère. Alors  n’oubliez pas,  toute décision  en entreprise engendre tôt ou tard, des  décisions financières. Traditionnellement, elles  sont de deux ordres :

-les décisions d’investissement qui concernent l’emploi des fonds

-les décisions de financement en rapport avec la collecte des fonds

Elles doivent faire l’objet d’une analyse pour diverses raisons. Les  décisions d’investissement par les besoins et les ressources qu’elles induisent. Et les décisions de financement par leur impact sur la rentabilité des capitaux.

Cet article détaille pour vous comment étudier la rentabilité de votre projet.

 

1-      évaluer le coût de l’investissement

Cette évaluation se fait en deux temps :

Premièrement : estimer les besoins du projet

Les différents postes constituant l’investissement correspondent aux dépenses à engager pour le démarrage de votre activité. En général, ces postes sont :

–          les équipements principaux

–          les matériels secondaires

–          les transports

–          loyers

–          les frais de démarches de création

–          les frais financiers

–          frais d’études

–          frais d’aménagement du site(local, bureau …)

–          etc.

Deuxièmement : estimer les coûts

Vous devez sans doute vous demander mais comment puissé-je estimer le coût de mon  projet. Je ne sais même le prix des actifs qui sont nécessaires au démarrage de mon projet. Je ne sais même pas où est qu’on les trouves. Etc.

D’abord, il faut explorer le net pour consulter et comparer les offres des sites. Ensuite il faut demander des devis, en principe c’est gratuit. Vous devez également dans la mesure du possible vous entretenir avec quelqu’un qui déjà l’expérience  dans le secteur.je vous recommande de  faire estimer et évaluer votre projet par un bureau d’étude. Au cas où vous voudriez faire les estimations vous-même voici deux méthodes

–          méthode analogue : qui consiste à faire référence à d’autres projets du genre. Ou bien à se référer partiellement à des réalisations similaires.

–          La méthode ascendante : qui consiste à consiste à détaillés les besoins, chiffrer ces éléments et ensuite faire la sommation pour obtenir le coût total du projet.

Une estimation ne peut-être produite et communiquée que si elle est accompagnée de description du contenu estimé, les conditions économiques considérées, les hypothèses employées, et l’incertitude associée.

Découvrez comment bâtir un bon plan de financement pour votre entreprise ici

Un conseil : l’évaluation du projet est délicate, il faut vous en souvenir en permanence.

 

2-      Estimation des recettes espérées ou chiffres d’affaires prévisionnels

Bien qu’il existe des formules mathématiques pour le faire, l’estimation des recettes futures s’appui aussi sur l’intuition, la compétence expérientielle et le bon sens. En plus, les mathématiques dans ce cas ne prévoient que des approximations, il en être conscient dans vos décisions.

Dans cette estimation  des gains on tient compte d’un paramètre très essentiel, l’environnement.

Il peut prendre deux valeurs extrêmes entre lesquelles peut situer   votre activité.

–          L’environnement est certain :

On peut estimer les recettes selon statistiques à doubles variables savoir :

·         L’ajustement linéaire

·         La méthode des moindres carrée

·         La méthode de Mayer

·         La méthode des moyennes mobiles

·         Autres.

–          L’environnement est incertain

On emploie généralement  deux méthodes :

·         Méthode probabiliste

Les paramètres essentiels sont l’espérance mathématique qui traduit les recettes éventuelles à engranger dans le futur.

Et l’écart type dont la formule est : écart= racine carrée de l’espérance (∂x=√Ex)

Il indique le degré de fluctuations des flux de trésorerie.

Evaluez le risque lié à votre projet  ici

·         Méthode de l’arbre de décisions

L’arbre de décision est un outil d’aide à la décision représentant un ensemble de choix possibles sous forme graphique à l’image d’un arbre. Les décisions possibles étant aux extrémités des branches et sont fonction  des décisions de chaque étape.

3.  étudier  la rentabilité du projet

etude de rentabilité

Il partir du principe qu’un projet n’est rentable que s’il est en mesure de générer des résultats  dont la valeur est supérieure à la somme investie. Et un projet dont les résultats sont inférieurs ou équivalent aux dépenses n’est pas rentable et sa réalisation implique des pertes en capitale. L’étude de la rentabilité repose sur plusieurs paramètres  à savoir :

·         le capital investi (CI)

C’est l’ensemble des dépenses directes et indirectes nécessaires à la réalisation du projet. Il tient compte également du besoin en fonds de roulement du début d’activité.

·         le cash flow  (CF)

il s’agit du surplus crée par la réalisation de votre activité.  Habituellement  l’année sert de base de calcul

Cash flow annuel= recettes annuelles –  dépenses annuelles decaissables

·         la durée du projet (D)

c’est une durée en référence de la quelle vous allez apprécier la rentabilité de votre projet. Elle est différente de la durée fiscale ou règlementaire de votre projet.

·         la valeur résiduelle (VR)

à l’issue de la durée de vie du projet, il va sans doute rester des biens. vous devriez évaluer ces biens restants et tenir compte de leur valeur dans le calcul visant à évaluer la rentabilité

 Les critères d’appréciation de projet :

–          la valeur actuelle nette (VAN)

c’est la différence entre les flux  nets de trésorerie   actualisés sur la durée  de vie du projet et montant investi dans celui-ci.

VAN= cash flow net actualisés – capital investi

 

–          le taux  de rentabilité interne (TRI)

C’est le taux par lequel la van est nulle. En d’autres termes, c’est le taux qui égalise  le capital investi et le cash flow induit.

CI= CF(1+t)-i  avec CI comme capital investi, t comme TRI

 

–          l’indice de profitabilité (IP>1)

c’est le rapport de la somme des cash flow net sur le capital investi. Il mesure le profit induit par une unité monétaire investie

IP= ∑CFN(1+t)-i/CI

 

–          le délai de récupération (DR)

il correspond au délai au bout duquel le cash flow net actualisé égal au capital investi.il constitue un critère de rejet s’il est trop supérieur au délai que le promoteur s’est fixé.

Exemple

Soit un projet d’exploitation d’une ferme d’élevage de poule pondeuse.

1-      Besoin et estimation de coût du projet en Franc CFA

désignations                                montants
Terrain1000 m carré                5 000 000
Poulailler                                     2 000 000
Installation et équipements     3 000 000
autres                                               500 000
Coût total du projet.                 10 500 000

2-      Estimation du cash flow

CF= recettes-dépenses

année       recettes         dépenses          Cash flow
1             2500 000       1 200 000         1 300 000
2             4 200 000      1 700 000         2 500 000
3             6 000 000       2 400 000        3 600 000
4             7 500 000       3 000 000        4 500 000
5             5 500 000       2 900 000         2 600 000

  • Le taux d’actualisation est de 8%
  • Délai normal de récupération 5ans

3-      Calcul de la rentabilité du projet

Valeur actuelle nette (VAN)

VAN =  cash flow actualisés – capital investi

VAN = [1 300000 (1+0,08)-1 + 2 500 000 (1+0,08)-2 + 3 600 000 (1+0,08)-3 + 4 500 000 (1+0,08)-4 + 2 600 000 (1+0,08)-5] – 10 500 000 = 781997,5  FCFA

La van est positive, ce qui veut dire que le projet est rentable et doit en principe être réalisé.

Remarque: on suppose que l’exploitation va se poursuivre après les 5 ans, et aussi  que vous voudriez savoir simplement  si les profits seuls  pourront amortir votre investissement. Vous constatez que la valeur résiduelle n’a pas été  évaluée.  et dans le calcul de la VAN, on a également fait fi de celle-ci.

LE TAUX DE RENTABILITE INTERNE (TRI)

il se calcul à travers la formule suivante : CI = CF(1+t)-i. cependant, la détermination de la valeur du taux se fait par interpolation linéaire parce que le calcul est complexe sans machine adaptée.

10 500 000 = 1 300 000 (1+t)-1 + 2 500 000 (1+t)-2 + ……….+ 2 600 000 (1+t)-5

L’INDICE DE PROFITABILITE (IP)

IP = 1,07

Le TRI doit être supérieur au taux d’actualisation sinon le projet doit être abandonné.

LE DELAI DE RECUPERATION

1 300 000 (1+0,08)-1 = 1 203 703 ; 2 500 000 (1+0,08)-2 =   …………

année    Cash flow          Cash f. actualisés    Cf.  cumulés
1         1 300 000          1 203 703              1 203 703
2          2 500 000          2 143 347             3 347 050
3          3 600 000          2 857 796             6 204 846
4           4 500 000         3 307 634             9 512 480
5           2 600 000         1 769 516            11 281 996
Le capital investi (10 500 000) se situe entre les deux dernières lignes du tableau  en l’occurrence  9 512 480 et 11 281 996.

Le délai de récupération =année correspondant au cf cumulé proche + (10500000-9512480)/ 1769516

DR = 4 +   = 4,558073507 = 4 ans 6mois 21jours ce qui signifie que vous recouvrez entièrement votre capital au bout de 4ans 7 mois de fonctionnement.

Le DR doit être inférieur au 5ans fixés comme délai de norme par l’entrepreneur  dans notre cas.

Résumé

VAN  positive, le projet est rentable

TRI supérieur au taux d’actualisation, le projet est réalisable

IP supérieur à 1, chaque unité monétaire investie apporte 0,07 franc de bénéfice. Le projet est profitable

DR est inférieur à 5ans, le projet ne doit pas  être rejeté.

 

NB :

– c’est un projet fictif

-les formules mathématiques ne sont pas bien prises en compte

–RENTABILITE PDF 

 

 

 

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    The original Indiana Capitol Building is located in midtown Corydon. The structure is integrated in the Federal-style popular when it was constructed in 1816. The square building was made from limestone mined from neighboring quarries. The logs are reduced from the virgin capitol, developed between 1814 and 1816, lies in the heart of downtown Corydon.

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  553. An individual with a smile that is shut and not very inviting may not be positive in the look of their teeth because of oral issues or damage to the teeth. The teeth might be broken or broken or there can be problems with the teeth as a result of poor dental care for the person. They could have an abnormal shape because of trauma or a mishap to the teeth. Cosmetic dentistry improves the look of the teeth and can also be performed to enhance the smile of a person. Porcelain Crowns– An oral crown is a reliable means to protect and beautify a worn, damaged, or decayed tooth that has a healthy root.

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    These populaces are at greater danger for mercury toxicity when they take in particles while having the metal amalgam put in and when particles possibly seep right into the body once the amalgam is in location. You are seeking an oral air passage health assessment due to the fact that you’re having difficulty breathing or resting, or since you have actually been informed your youngster requires orthodontic treatments, like dental braces. You are having repeating tooth cavities, gum disease, or other dental issues that are not enhancing with standard techniques. Prosthodontics treats visual dental care, dental implants, and aid to replace teeth.
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  571. It may take several months for the transplanted bone to expand enough new bone to support a dental implant. In some cases, you might require only small bone grafting, which can be done at the very same time as the dental implant surgical treatment. Your dental doctor may require to hair transplant a tiny portion of bone– commonly from an additional website in the top or reduced jawbone– to give the oral implant a strong foundation. Dental experts treat teeth and gums, the muscle mass and nerves of the head, neck, and jaws; the tongue; and the salivary glands. They can execute dental surgeries and additionally refer clients to oral professionals or physicians when required. We compiled a comprehensive list of oral procedures and methods so you can be educated the following time you visit the dental practitioner.
    Currently you understand that mosting likely to the dental professional’s workplace isn’t the only option available. If you’re trying to find a low-priced or totally free oral care alternative, a more open timetable, or are interested in having all your demands satisfied under one roofing system, an oral facility could be the very best alternative for you! And simply believe you may also contribute to the education of oral trainees. Make sure to examine about the specifics of what’s supplied and the financing at your regional clinic. Some individuals require and choose an even more constant and personal partnership with their dental practitioner. During a dental evaluation your dental expert will certainly make use of instruments, examinations, radiographs and medical know-how to detect prospective or existing illness states and pathologies.

    Using customized oral instruments, your dental professional will gently loosen your tooth and very carefully raise it from its outlet. Often, your dental expert may require to make incisions in your periodontals to access your tooth– particularly if your tooth is badly decomposed or has actually broken short at the periodontal line. Once your tooth is eliminated, the socket is cleaned and sanitized. In some cases, your dentist might additionally position an oral bone graft, which helps protect against bone loss in your jaw.
    Potential Risks
    The client may cough and choke but this is not constantly the case and breathing may happen asymptomatically. Discussion may be postponed, with signs and symptoms of persistent lung infection. Since tooth whitening does not impact the architectural honesty of the dentition, there is no partnership of tooth feature and de-coloration.

    When flossing with Super Floss, the process will certainly coincide. However, youngsters won’t need to string the floss via the end since it’s already established. They’ll just lead the stiffened end under the braces cable and experience the exact same actions as above.
    Dental Treatment Pointers Phase 1 (4-24 Months)
    Discover an enjoyable story, a checking and mapping page, a coloring web page, and a pictograph revealing the amount of sugar in popular drinks. This collection of handouts for expecting women and parents of infants and young children offers straightforward tips on oral health and wellness problems. Early Head Start and Head Start health personnel are motivated to share the handouts with families to advertise good dental health. The very best method to limit sweet is to make it a sometimes-treat; stress that candy is for unique events.

    Youngsters that have bad dental health and wellness usually miss more school and receive lower qualities than kids who do not. To prevent oral troubles in your youngster, guarantee they clean their teeth two times a day, floss daily, and limitation sugary treats and drinks. Routine dental exams are likewise vital for early discovery and avoidance of oral concerns. When you children do terrific at cleaning or flossing think of a benefit system. Have a sticker label chart they include in or have them make factors in the direction of a little plaything or benefit every week.
    When Should Kids Begin Brushing Thei